New regional order!
If the whole world is on the verge of a new world order, the Middle East begins to adopt a new regional order. The Turkish and the Syrians have realized this fact given that Turkey is playing a pivotal role in the region and Syria is taking the lead and Tehran is turning into a regional power before being a nuclear one. However, the complete failure of the US-led war on Iraq and the decline of the Arab nationalism trend as well as the rising prices of oil have led to the change of the regional order and the emergence of a different one that might lead to a new Middle East.
For example, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is no longer given priority in the West given that the possible confrontation with Iran has topped the agenda of Israel and the United States; hence, Tehran-Washington conflict is intensifying over the future of the Gulf and the region. In addition, finding a solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict cannot take place away from the local agents of Iran: Hamas and Hezbollah. Surprisingly, the strategic importance Iran enjoys in the region has been due to the US failed invasion of Iraq which led to the collapse of that country.
On the other hand, when reading between the lines of French President Nicolas Sarkozy's visit to Damascus, it is crystal clear the Syrian-Israeli negotiations would move to a new level. Moreover, one should not ignore the new missile technology which changed the threat concept of Israel and undermined the strategic value of the Golan Heights. The Scud B missile-with a range of 300 kilometers- and Scud C missile-with a range of 500 kilometers-which Syria possesses, pose a threat to Israel. Yet, Syria does no longer constitute a big danger to Israel. The big danger comes from Iran given that it possesses missiles the range of which can hit Israel. The Syrian-Iranian alliance has been on the agenda of Sarkozy's talks in Damascus despite the fact that Damascus is not expected to end its alliance with Iran.
No doubt, the Damascus-Tehran relations have been affected given Syria's indirect negotiations with Israel through the Turkish mediator. But, Damascus rejects to end this alliance and says it is capable of assuming the role of the bridge of communication with Tehran.
Maha Abdul Fattah
Akhbar el Youm